Tải bản đầy đủ

A handbook of transport economics

A HANDBOOK OF TRANSPORT ECONOMICS

De Palma book.indb i

05/10/2011 11:32


A Céline et Matthieu, mes deux enfants chéris
To Laura and Amanda
To Camille and to my children and grandchildren
To Chris and my growing family

De Palma book.indb ii

05/10/2011 11:32


A Handbook of
Transport Economics

Edited by


André de Palma
Ecole Normale Supérieure de Cachan, France

Robin Lindsey
University of British Columbia, Canada

Emile Quinet
Paris School of Economics, ENPC, Paris, France

Roger Vickerman
University of Kent, UK

Edward Elgar
Cheltenham, UK • Northampton, MA, USA

De Palma book.indb iii

05/10/2011 11:32


© André de Palma, Robin Lindsey, Emile Quinet and Roger Vickerman 2011
All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or
transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical or photocopying, recording, or
otherwise without the prior permission of the publisher.
Published by
Edward Elgar Publishing Limited
The Lypiatts
15 Lansdown Road
Cheltenham
Glos GL50 2JA
UK
Edward Elgar Publishing, Inc.
William Pratt House
9 Dewey Court
Northampton
Massachusetts 01060
USA

A catalogue record for this book


is available from the British Library
Library of Congress Control Number: 2009941004

ISBN 978 1 84720 203 1

03

Typeset by Servis Filmsetting Ltd, Stockport, Cheshire
Printed and bound by MPG Books Group, UK

De Palma book.indb iv

05/10/2011 11:32


Contents

List of editors and contributors
Foreword by Daniel McFadden
1

Introduction
André de Palma, Robin Lindsey, Emile Quinet and Roger Vickerman

PART I
2
3
4
5
6

8
9
10
11

12
13
14

21
46
67
97
116

THE DEMAND FOR TRANSPORT

Valuation of travel time savings
David A. Hensher
Advances in discrete choice: mixture models
Joan L. Walker and Moshe Ben-Akiva
Dynamic traffic modeling
André de Palma and Mogens Fosgerau
Activity-based travel demand analysis
Abdul Rawoof Pinjari and Chandra R. Bhat
Economics of transport logistics
Michel Beuthe

PART III

1

TRANSPORT AND SPATIAL ECONOMY

General equilibrium models for transportation economics
Johannes Bröcker and Jean Mercenier
Transport in spatial models of economic development
Michael Wegener
New economic geography: the role of transport costs
Miren Lafourcade and Jacques-François Thisse
Transport costs and international trade
Alberto Behar and Anthony J. Venables
City formation and transport costs
Takatoshi Tabuchi

PART II
7

viii
xv

135
160
188
213
249

THE COST OF TRANSPORT

Cost functions for transport firms
Leonardo J. Basso, Sergio R. Jara-Díaz and William G. Waters II
Efficiency measurement theory and its application to airport benchmarking
Tae Hoon Oum, Katsuhiro Yamaguchi and Yuichiro Yoshida
Theory of external costs
Stef Proost

273
298
319

v

De Palma book.indb v

05/10/2011 11:32


vi

A handbook of transport economics

15

External costs of transport in the United States
Mark Delucchi and Don McCubbin
External costs of transport in Europe
Rainer Friedrich and Emile Quinet
The value of a statistical life
Henrik Andersson and Nicolas Treich
Transport and energy
Kenneth Button
The full marginal costs of highway travel: methods and empirical estimation
for North America
Yossi Berechman, Bekir Bartin, Ozlem Yanmaz-Tuzel and Kaan Ozbay

16
17
18
19

PART IV
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27

28
29
30
31
32
33

De Palma book.indb vi

369
396
425

444

OPTIMAL PUBLIC DECISIONS

Surplus theory
Yoshitsugu Kanemoto
The direct and wider impacts of transport projects: a review
Peter Mackie, Daniel Graham and James Laird
Price discrimination
Simon P. Anderson and Régis Renault
Road congestion pricing
Georgina Santos and Erik Verhoef
The economics of information in transport
Piet Rietveld
Personal intelligent travel assistants
Caspar G. Chorus and Harry J.P. Timmermans
Equity dimensions of transport policies
Alain Trannoy
Psychology and rationality in user behavior: the case of scarcity
Jonathan L. Gifford

PART V

341

479
501
527
561
586
604
624
650

COMPETITION AND REGULATION

Competition, regulation and public service obligations
Marco Ponti
The theory of incentives applied to the transport sector
Elisabetta Iossa and David Martimort
Public–private partnerships in transport
Antonio Estache, Ellis Juan and Lourdes Trujillo
Parking economics
Richard Arnott
The industrial organization of competition in local bus services
Philippe Gagnepain, Marc Ivaldi and Catherine Muller-Vibes
Competition and regulation in rail transport
Chris Nash

661
684
708
726
744
763

05/10/2011 11:32


Contents
34
35
36
37

Airport governance and regulation: three decades of aviation system reform
David Gillen
Competition and regulation in air transport
Anming Zhang, Yimin Zhang and Joseph A. Clougherty
Competition and regulation in seaports
Hilde Meersman, Eddy Van de Voorde and Thierry Vanelslander
Competition and regulation in maritime transport
Mary R. Brooks

Name index
Subject index

De Palma book.indb vii

vii
779
797
822
844

869
887

05/10/2011 11:32


Editors and contributors

EDITORS
André de Palma
Ecole Normale Supérieure, Cachan, France
andre.depalma@ens-cachan.fr
Robin Lindsey
Sauder School of Business
The University of British Columbia, Canada
Robin.Lindsey@sauder.ubc.ca
Emile Quinet
Ecole des Ponts ParisTech and Paris School of Economics, France
quinet@enpc.fr
Roger Vickerman
The University of Kent, UK
R.W.Vickerman@kent.ac.uk

CONTRIBUTORS
Simon P. Anderson
University of Virginia, USA
sa9w@virginia.edu
Henrik Andersson
Toulouse School of Economics (UT1, CNRS, LERNA), France
henrik.andersson@tse-fr.eu
Richard Arnott
Department of Economics
University of California, Riverside, USA
richard.arnott@ucr.edu
Bekir Bartin
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
Rutgers University, USA
bbartin@rci.rutgers.edu
Leonardo J. Basso
Civil Engineering Department
Universidad de Chile, Chile
lbasso@ing.uchile.cl
viii

De Palma book.indb viii

05/10/2011 11:32


Editors and contributors ix
Alberto Behar
Department of Economics
University of Oxford, UK
alberto.behar@economics.ox.ac.uk
Moshe Ben-Akiva
Civil and Environmental Engineering
Massachusetts Institute of Technology, USA
mba@mit.edu
Yossi Berechman
Department of Economics
The City College
The City University of New York, USA
jberechman@ccny.cuny.edu
Michel Beuthe
Group Transport & Mobility (GTM)
Louvain School of Management,
Catholic University of Mons (FUCAM), Belgium
michel.beuthe@fucam.ac.be
Chandra R. Bhat
Department of Civil, Architectural and Environmental Engineering
The University of Texas at Austin, USA
bhat@mail.utexas.edu
Johannes Bröcker
Institute for Regional Research
Kiel University, Germany
broecker@economics.uni-kiel.de
Mary R. Brooks
Dalhousie University, Canada
m.brooks@dal.ca
Kenneth Button
George Mason University, USA
kbutton@gmu.edu
Caspar G. Chorus
Section of Transport and Logistics
Delft University of Technology, The Netherlands
c.g.chorus@tudelft.nl
Joseph A. Clougherty
College of Business
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, USA
jaclough@illinois.edu

De Palma book.indb ix

05/10/2011 11:32


x

A handbook of transport economics

Mark Delucchi
Institute of Transportation Studies
University of California, Davis, USA
madelucchi@ucdavis.edu
Antonio Estache
Universite Libre de Bruxelles and the European Center for Advanced Research in
Economics and Statistics (ECARES), Belgium
aestache@ulb.ac.be
Mogens Fosgerau
Danish Institute for Transport Research, Denmark
mf@transport.dtu.dk
Rainer Friedrich
IER University of Stuttgart, Germany
rf@ier.uni-stuttgart.de
Philippe Gagnepain
Paris School of Economics-Université Paris 1, France
philippe.gagnepain@univ-paris1.fr
Jonathan L. Gifford
School of Public Policy
George Mason University, USA
jgifford@gmu.edu
David Gillen
Centre for Transportation Studies
Sauder School of Business
The University of British Columbia, Canada
david.gillen@sauder.ubc.ca
Daniel Graham
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
Imperial College, UK
d.j.graham@imperial.ac.uk
David A. Hensher
Institute of Transport and Logistics Studies, Faculty of Economics and Business
The University of Sydney, Australia
david.hensher@sydney.edu.au
Elisabetta Iossa
Brunel University, UK, and University of Tor Vergata, CMPO and EIEF, Italy
Elisabetta.Iossa@brunel.ac.uk
Marc Ivaldi
Toulouse School of Economics
University of Toulouse, France
Marc.ivaldi@tse-fr.eu

De Palma book.indb x

05/10/2011 11:32


Editors and contributors xi
Sergio R. Jara-Díaz
Civil Engineering Department
Universidad de Chile, Chile
jaradiaz@ing.uchile.cl
Ellis Juan
Mexico Country Representative
Inter-American Development Bank, USA
ellisj@iadb.org
Yoshitsugu Kanemoto
Graduate School of Public Policy and Graduate School of Economics
University of Tokyo, Japan
kanemoto@e.u-tokyo.ac.jp
Miren Lafourcade
Université Paris-Sud 11 (ADIS) and Paris School of Economics, France
lafourcade@pse.ens.fr
James Laird
Institute for Transport Studies
University of Leeds, UK
j.j.laird@its.leeds.ac.uk
Don McCubbin
Institute of Transportation Studies
University of California, Davis, USA
dmccubbi@yahoo.com
Peter Mackie
Institute for Transport Studies
University of Leeds, UK
p.j.mackie@its.leeds.ac.uk
David Martimort
Paris School of Economics, France
martimor@cict.fr
Hilde Meersman
Department of Transport and Regional Economics
University of Antwerp, Belgium
hilde.meersman@ua.ac.be
Jean Mercenier
ERMES, Université Panthéon-Assas (Paris 2), France
Jean.Mercenier@u-paris2.fr
Catherine Muller-Vibes
Institut d’Economie Industrielle, Toulouse, France
catherinevibes@hotmail.com

De Palma book.indb xi

05/10/2011 11:32


xii

A handbook of transport economics

Chris Nash
Institute for Transport Studies
University of Leeds, UK
c.a.nash@its.leeds.ac.uk
Tae Hoon Oum
Sauder School of Business, Vancouver, Canada
tae.oum@sauder.ubc.ca
Kaan Ozbay
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
Rutgers University, USA
kaan@rci.rutgers.edu
Abdul Rawoof Pinjari
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
University of South Florida, USA
Email: apinjari@usf.edu
Marco Ponti
Politecnico di Milano University, Italy
marco.ponti@polimi.it.
Stef Proost
Center for Economic Studies
KULeuven (B), Belgium
stef.proost@econ.kuleuven.be
Régis Renault
Université de Cergy Pontoise, France
Regis.renault@eco.u-cergy.fr
Piet Rietveld
Faculty of Economics
VU University, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
prietveld@feweb.vu.nl
Georgina Santos
School of City and Regional Planning
Cardiff University, UK
SantosG@Cardiff.ac.uk
Takatoshi Tabuchi
Department of Economics
University of Tokyo, Japan
ttabuchi@e.u-tokyo.ac.jp
Jacques-François Thisse
CORE, Université catholique de Louvain, Belgium, Ecole Nationale des Ponts et
Chaussées, France and CEPR, UK
jacques.thisse@uclouvain.be

De Palma book.indb xii

05/10/2011 11:32


Editors and contributors xiii
Harry J.P. Timmermans
Urban Planning Group
Eindhoven University of Technology, The Netherlands
h.j.p.timmermans@bwk.tue.nl
Alain Trannoy
EHESS, GREQAM-IDEP, France
Alain.trannoy@univmed.fr
Nicolas Treich
Toulouse School of Economics (INRA, LERNA)
Université Toulouse 1 Capitole, France
nicolas.treich@tse-fr.eu
Lourdes Trujillo
Universidad de Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Spain
ltrujillo@daea.ulpgc.es
Eddy Van de Voorde
Department of Transport and Regional Economics
University of Antwerp, Belgium
eddy.vandevoorde@ua.ac.be
Thierry Vanelslander
Department of Transport and Regional Economics
University of Antwerp, Belgium
thierry.vanelslander@ua.ac.be
Anthony J. Venables
Department of Economics
University of Oxford, UK
tony.venables@economics.ox.ac.uk
Erik Verhoef
Department of Spatial Economics
VU University, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
everhoef@feweb.vu.nl
Joan L. Walker
Civil and Environmental Engineering
Global Metropolitan Studies
University of California at Berkeley, USA
joanwalker@berkeley.edu
William G. Waters II
Centre for Transportation Studies
Sauder School of Business
The University of British Columbia, Canada
william.waters@sauder.ubc.ca

De Palma book.indb xiii

05/10/2011 11:32


xiv

A handbook of transport economics

Michael Wegener
Spiekermann & Wegener Urban and Regional Research (S&W), Germany
mw@spiekermann-wegener.de
Katsuhiro Yamaguchi
Graduate School of Public Policy
The University of Tokyo, Japan
yamaguchi@pp.u-tokyo.ac.jp
Ozlem Yanmaz-Tuzel
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
Rutgers University, USA
yanmaz@rci.rutgers.edu
Yuichiro Yoshida
National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies
Tokyo, Japan
yoshida@grips.ac.jp
Anming Zhang
Sauder School of Business
The University of British Columbia, Canada
anming.zhang@sauder.ubc.ca
Yimin Zhang
China Europe International Business School
Shanghai, China
zyimin@ceibs.edu

De Palma book.indb xiv

05/10/2011 11:32


Foreword
Daniel McFadden

This Handbook, edited by de Palma, Lindsey, Quinet and Vickerman, is welcome for its
novelty and originality. It is not the first handbook on transport; there are other excellent volumes that focus on the transport sector or on sub-sectors within transport. These
handbooks tend to provide a synthesis of the subject from the different viewpoints of
a range of disciplines including operational research, political science, engineering and
management as well as economics. There are also handbooks which focus on particular
branches of economics such as public economics, development economics and regional
and urban economics. But no previous handbook has focussed so deliberately on the
transport sector, through the lens of one discipline, economics. What justifies such an
approach? One obvious, albeit rather simple, reason is that transport is a sector that
presents a range of economic problems and has therefore been studied in great detail
through economic analysis, as the editors stress in their introductory chapter.
However, two questions remain:



First, is it possible to talk about an ‘economics of transport’ without considering
the contribution of other disciplines?
Second, is there a ‘specific economics of transport’ which lends itself to such
particular attention?

The answer to the first question is relatively easy. In order to understand the application
of economics to the transport sector, it is necessary to have a basic knowledge of the specific conditions which underlie activity in the sector. A simple expression of this is given
through the knowledge that we all have as users of transport. For example, we know
the distinction between infrastructure and operations, we know that most airports are
located outside cities because land is cheaper there, noise is less of a nuisance and so on.
In order to understand these functions and the problems they pose, the editors appropriately recommend that readers start with their own textbook ‘Principles of Transport
Economics’ to which this Handbook represents a logical extension.
My opinion, which is shared implicitly by the editors, is that the economics of transport are fundamentally problems of economics, but applied to a particular sector which
has some very specific characteristics. From where does that specificity arise? It can be
identified in terms of the numerical values of parameters such as the incidence of scale
economies, or the environmental costs imposed by different modes of transport, or the
incidence of a particular form of organization such as the oligopoly structures found in
airline competition or the public–private partnerships often found for the provision of
infrastructure. Transport does not require a unique economics based on paradigms and
mechanisms that differ from other sectors of the economy. But transport is characterized
by certain specific features.
The first of these specific characteristics is the role of space. Transport is necessary
xv

De Palma book.indb xv

05/10/2011 11:32


xvi

A handbook of transport economics

because activities are spatially separated and this separation affects the economic
analysis: it creates variable rents for land, it changes the laws of competition and it generates spatial inequalities. The role of transport in the structuring of space is an important
issue in policy towards land use. Progress has been made in recent years in understanding
the links between transport and land use, notably through the ‘new economic geography’
following the pathbreaking work of Paul Krugman. The Handbook deals with these new
advances in detail and explains their significance. But this area still remains tentative and
incomplete, particularly in terms of its dynamics, the time lags involved, and the importance of public policy decisions affecting it. All of these combine to create new problems
for us to solve.
The second specific characteristic is time. First, spatial separation implies that time
is needed to travel. The use of time was first modeled in detail by Gary Becker. Becker
treated time as an attribute of all consumption, not just transport, but transport is
a sector where time has a particularly important role especially when reliability and
comfort are considered. Second, since transport is consumed as it is produced, the choice
of when to travel is a key factor in the use of transport. Following the initial work of
William Vickrey, there has been considerable research on modeling trip-timing decisions,
including work by the editors of this Handbook, which contributes to the literature on
dynamic models. Third, time, and especially long periods of time counted in years or
decades, arises because of the durability of transport infrastructure and the mobile plant
which uses it. These long time periods complicate investment decisions. A fourth aspect
related to time is the problem of scheduling and pricing of transport services by suppliers. This encompasses not only commonplace tasks such as designing bus timetables but
also the use of ITS technology such as yield management software which is routinely
used to allocate seats on planes and trains, but can also be used to allocate hotel rooms,
hospital beds and facilities in other sectors of the economy.
The third characteristic of transport economics is the multiplicity of decisions that
have to be made: choice of destination, transport mode, departure time and route, as
well as long-run decisions such as residential location, workplace and vehicle ownership.
Most of these choices are discrete. The theory of discrete choice, which I developed in my
own research, has become a workhorse not only in transportation but also in many other
areas such as industrial organization and marketing. This theory is particularly useful for
taking into account the fact that decisions relating to transport are part of a much wider
set of decisions relating to the choices between a range of activities, or to the sequential
decisions determined by experience or memory, all filtered by psychological attitudes.
The diagram below suggests a structure for analysis of these decisions which provides
a basis for the way research is developing. It suggests how the development of discrete
choice models has led researchers to explore types of behavior which are omitted from the
traditional theory of rational behavior under perfect information. The decision maker
in our models is far from being fully rational and responds to stimuli usually studied by
psychologists. Curiously enough, a parallel development has occurred in the study of
risk, which has abandoned the use of models based on expected utility in favor of models
which allow for perception bias and the asymmetry of gains and losses. Moreover, there
are further parallels with the theory of behavior in an imperfect world originating with
the work of Maurice Allais and continued by Daniel Kahneman’s Nobel-prize-winning
work on prospect theory; developments which were influenced by Herbert Simon’s work

De Palma book.indb xvi

05/10/2011 11:32


Foreword xvii
Opportunities,
Constraints,
Information

Attitudes, Affect,
Perceptions/Beliefs

Plan

Choice

Preferences

Figure 0.1

The process of decision making (adapted from McFadden 1999)

on bounded rationality. Such models are applicable to many decision situations, both
individual and group. Using an integrated view that draws on economics and psychology
they are particularly well suited to transport. Valuably, the Handbook includes a specific
chapter devoted to the psychology of decisions.
The final characteristic I want to emphasize is the relationship between the public and
private sectors in the provision and management of transport. Once again, this is not a
problem solely related to transport; it can be found in many instances relating to public
utilities, including for example, energy and water. However, it is in transport where it
has been developed furthest. There are two main explanations for this. The first relates
to the importance and nature of externalities, in particular congestion externalities which
are endemic to transport. It is thus the role of the regulator or state to take measures to
control the undesirable effects. Such measures can include policies on prices or quantities, changes of legislation, and the use of new information and communication technologies such as flexible pricing based on current or forecast levels of aggregate usage.
The second explanation arises from the fact that for several reasons, both institutional
and technical, public authorities are deeply involved in the supply of transport services.
From this has arisen the development of public–private partnerships as well as the need
to consider imperfect competition, indirect taxation, contracts and regulation under
asymmetric information along the lines developed by James Mirrlees and Eric Maskin.
These four characteristics underpin the structure of the Handbook and the selection of
topics in each of the five parts. Each topic is addressed by one of the best specialists in
the area. The contributors have been chosen for their ability and reputation; some are
transport specialists, but others work mainly in other fields. However, each is an expert
who is recognised as having contributed to the economics of transport. The Handbook
does not deal with every topic, but it includes most of the important topics, particularly

De Palma book.indb xvii

05/10/2011 11:32


xviii

A handbook of transport economics

those which identify important future developments in the nature and study of transport.
I want to thank the editors for bringing this project to fruition and compiling in one
volume contributions which will interest both transport specialists and economists.
Engineers and management experts will benefit from the summaries, and rigorous
analysis, of recent advances in economic research applied to their fields of interest.
Researchers and students in economics will see how economic theory can be applied in
a specific context to enrich the study of one sector, transport. In this way, the Handbook
contributes to the cross-fertilisation of different areas of knowledge and constitutes an
important development in the advancement of that knowledge.

REFERENCE
McFadden, D., 1999, Rationality for economists, Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 19, 73–105.

De Palma book.indb xviii

05/10/2011 11:32


1

Introduction
André de Palma, Robin Lindsey, Emile Quinet and
Roger Vickerman

The transport sector holds a special place in economics for a number of reasons. First,
several basic concepts that are widely used in economic analysis originated from the
study of developments and policy issues in transport. Jules Dupuit (1844) established
the foundations of surplus theory and welfare economics while he was grappling with the
social value of transport infrastructure. The seminal theory of discrete choice developed
by Daniel McFadden (1974) and others was motivated by a desire to understand and
predict individual choices of transport mode. William Vickrey’s (1963) well-known work
on transport congestion and queuing has been applied well beyond the transport sector.
And the self-financing theorem due to Herbert Mohring and Mitchell Harwitz (1962)
arose from the question of whether efficient traffic congestion charges suffice to pay for
the construction of an optimally sized road.
Second, the costs of transport are central to economic activity as Adam Smith (1776)
recognized in his famous observation on how the scale of production is limited by the
extent of the market. Indeed, transport costs play a special role in several fields of economics. In spatial economics transport costs underlie land rent (Johann Heinrich von
Thünen), location choices of firms (Alfred Weber) and the existence of location and price
equilibrium in competitive markets (Harold Hotelling, 1929). Transport costs are also
central in the new economic geography (Paul Krugman, 1991) which seeks to explain
the extent of agglomeration in human activity over space and disparities in regional
development.
Conversely, due to many facets of transport markets, economic theory is widely
applied to the transport sector. In some parts of the transport sector – notably
infrastructure – public management is preeminent, and issues arise in which welfare
economics and social choice theories can be brought to bear. This is also true where
redistribution and equity are concerns as is often the case for regional transport. The
private sector dominates in other parts of transport, such as operations, and industrial
organization economics comes to the fore. With increasing frequency transport infrastructure and services are provided by a mix of public and private institutions, often via
concessions and public–private partnership (PPP) arrangements. Private finance has
been introduced in fields which used to be the realm of public management and funding,
and here the theories of contracts and regulation are an indispensable tool. Transport is
also a major source of externalities, both negative (for example, pollution) and positive
(for example, agglomeration externalities and economics of traffic density), and theories
of corrective taxation and subsidies pioneered by Arthur Pigou (1924) can be applied.
Last but not least, economic analysis has enlightened the links between transport and
economic development. Transport is a kind of kaleidoscope of the various aspects of
economic analysis.
1

De Palma book.indb 1

05/10/2011 11:32


2

A handbook of transport economics

Another feature of transport economics is that the issues relate very much to the real
world and scholars are devoted to answering practical questions. The path from theory
to application is often shorter in transport economics than in other fields of economics.
New concepts and theoretical developments are quickly adapted towards application,
and combined with expert advice and field experience into policy recommendations for
decision makers.
Transport is an exciting and rapidly evolving field. The main drivers of change are
technological progress and societal evolution. In recent years new technologies of information and communication have emerged that are leading to major innovations in applications such as traveler information services and pricing of infrastructure usage. These
technologies have also profoundly transformed logistics for firms, and they are beginning to have noticeable impacts on the daily activity and travel patterns of households.
The volume of travel is affected by two opposing forces: economic growth, on the one
hand, which tends to boost mobility, and concerns about the environment and energy
supply which tend to dampen it.
The structure of transport markets has also changed a lot. The trend is towards more
competition, but generally imperfect oligopolistic or monopolistically competitive competition. Competition takes various forms entailing not only classical price competition,
but also competition in frequency and other dimensions of service quality with widespread use of price discrimination and other practices for market segmentation. The
governance of the transport sector is itself changing with opposing trends towards both
more and less regulation depending on the country and mode of transport. Governments
and other institutions are also grappling with how to address the effects of transport on
local environments and global climate change.
These various developments in the transport sector are influencing transport research.
We are seeing renewed interest from researchers in the way transport interacts with the
wider economy. There have been important developments in the economic analysis of
markets and regulation, and in the economics of information. There is growing appreciation for the importance of network structure in applications ranging from congestion
pricing of road traffic to competition in airline markets. And increasingly sophisticated
econometric methods are being brought to bear in such diverse applications as transport
demand, price discrimination, economies of scale and scope, and the importance of
travel time reliability.
The various aspects and developments in transport and transport economics reveal
both the value of a Handbook in Transport Economics and the challenges in preparing
one. The value is clear since a handbook allows scholars, students, consultants and decision makers to learn and master in one volume the main themes, issues and methods
in the economics of transport. The challenges arise because of the sheer diversity in the
nature of transport across modes, countries and time, as well as the diversity of regulatory frameworks and economic methods used in the study of the field.
The chapters of the Handbook have been written by acknowledged experts in their
fields. Each chapter provides a state-of-the-art review of the latest research and scholarly
thinking from the author’s or authors’ distinctive viewpoint. Many authors also discuss
how their findings can be used by decision makers in the public and private sectors for
the general purpose of improving transport policy objectives and the means of achieving
them.

De Palma book.indb 2

05/10/2011 11:32


Introduction

3

The Handbook has been structured to complement the organization of the textbook
by two of the editors, Emile Quinet and Roger Vickerman’s Principles of Transport
Economics (Edward Elgar, 2004). There are two reasons for doing so. First, it will enable
the reader to move from the basic introduction of principles in the textbook to a more
detailed and advanced elaboration of key issues here. Second, the textbook is divided
into parts that provide a logical sequence for study of the transport system.
Although each chapter in the Handbook is designed to be read on its own as a selfcontained treatment of one topic in transport economics, many of the topics are so
interconnected that a piecemeal reading will fail to provide a full picture of the linkages
and challenges facing the transport sector as a whole. For instance, pricing, investment
and regulation are closely interrelated and require an appreciation of the economics of
transport demand, the structure and determinants of costs and the wider economy which
transport serves. Readers are therefore encouraged to progress systematically through
the Handbook from Part I through Part V.
Part I sets the transport sector within the framework of overall economic activity,
mainly through the concepts and mechanisms of spatial economics. The tools are general
equilibrium models, urban modeling and analyses of urban growth.
Next, as it is normal for the study of any economic sector, the demand for and costs of
transport are analyzed in Parts II and III. Transport demand has a number of idiosyncratic features that require specific attention and models. Among the more recent models
are improved discrete choice models, choice of departure time models and activity-based
programs. Collectively, these models constitute a major improvement on traditional
four-step models that are still widely used by both researchers and practitioners.
More so than for most other economic sectors, infrastructure and external costs
account for large fractions of the costs of transport. Scale economies can be significant
for infrastructure and under the conditions of the self-financing theorem efficient user
charges do not fully pay for the costs of construction. A need for subsidy then arises.
External costs create another type of market failure that calls either for additional user
charges or some other means of intervention.
With the basics of transport demand and costs in hand it is possible to study how
transport services should be procured. This analysis can be conducted at two levels. The
first, which is the more theoretical and normative, is founded on surplus theory, draws
on the lessons of welfare economics and can be thought of as providing recommendations to a benevolent planner. This social choice perspective is developed in Part IV of
the Handbook on ‘Optimal public decisions’. Another point of view, closer to the paradigm of public choice theory and positive analysis, examines the process of ‘Competition
and regulation’ dealt with in Part V. The reference paradigms here are principal–agent
analysis, the theories of contracts and incentives and industrial organization theory.
We now summarize the main contributions of the chapters in each of Parts I–V.

PART I: TRANSPORT AND SPATIAL ECONOMY
Although transport planning has traditionally involved the modeling of interactions
with the economy, the relationship between transport and the rest of the economy has
acquired a greater emphasis through the development of the New Economic Geography.

De Palma book.indb 3

05/10/2011 11:32


4

A handbook of transport economics

Although links with local urban and regional economies feature in land-use transport
interaction (LUTI) models, the new economic geography (NEG) offers a more formal
economic modeling of these relationships. This has also linked to a renewed interest in
the role of transport costs in determining the magnitude and patterns of international
trade. Both the traditional and new lines of research are included in this first section of
the Handbook with an emphasis on spatial economics.
Part I begins with a thorough review of two classical and related but contrasting
approaches to the traditional modeling of urban and regional systems. Johannes Bröcker
and Jean Mercenier (General equilibrium models for transportation economics) present
a general equilibrium approach. General equilibrium (GE) models build on rigorous
modeling of the way microeconomic agents respond to market signals when maximizing their own objectives. From the interaction between the resulting supply and demand
decisions, and conditional on the organizational structure of each market, new signals
emerge that feed back on the optimal decisions of all agents. The computation of a GE
consists in determining a system of signals and an allocation of resources between individuals, sectors of activities, regions and time periods, such that all agents are at their
optimum subject to their respective budget, technological and other constraints. The set
of transactions conducted in each market leaves each agent simultaneously in equilibrium such that there is no incentive to change behavior. Chapter 2 concludes by reviewing how GE models can be used in transport economics, particularly in evaluation and
appraisal, while recognizing the restrictive assumptions which need to be made and the
effort required to obtain the required information.
Michael Wegener (Transport in spatial models of economic development) describes
the more traditional but still widely used set of LUTI models. His chapter offers a
valuable comparison of different types of models, detailing their particular strengths
and weaknesses. The first part deals with multiregional economic models which are not
based on individual firm or household behavior, but on regional aggregates such as gross
domestic product or employment, possibly classified by economic sector. Some of these
models explicitly specify trade flows between regions and some do not. The second part
of the chapter deals with models which focus on the intraregional location of firms with
various degrees of spatial and sectoral resolution. The most recent development is fully
microscopic models of firm life cycles (‘firmography’) and firm location within metropolitan regions that use stochastic Monte Carlo simulation. These models typically work
with high-resolution grid cells as spatial units. The chapter concludes by assessing how
well the models deal with the new challenges of energy scarcity and climate protection.
The remaining chapters of Part I deal with more detailed spatial analysis based on
mechanisms of the NEG. Miren Lafourcade and Jacques-François Thisse (New economic geography: The role of transport costs) provide the background to transport–
economy interactions in their review of the NEG and its contribution to economics.
Economic geography explains why human activity is concentrated in a large variety of
economic agglomerations rather than distributed uniformly over space. At the core of
the NEG approach is the trade-off between increasing returns and transport costs. The
chapter presents historical data to show that falling transport costs may contribute to
rising spatial income inequalities over very long time periods. It then provides an overview of the main explanations proposed by NEG for the emergence of a core-periphery
structure in a world of falling transport costs. The theory also indicates that, once obsta-

De Palma book.indb 4

05/10/2011 11:32


Introduction

5

cles to trade are sufficiently low, spatial inequalities might well vanish. Hence, evidence
is found to show that spatial inequalities would first rise and then fall. Next, the chapter
shows how transport costs can be modeled and measured, and describes the results from
the few empirical attempts to test the predictions of NEG models. The chapter concludes
with some implications of NEG for transport economics and policy.
In the following chapter (Transport costs and international trade), Alberto Behar
and Tony Venables investigate the effect of transport costs on international trade. They
begin by examining the relationship between transport costs and the volume and nature
of international trade and then explore why trade costs vary across space and time,
showing that trade costs have not fallen as much as is commonly believed. The core of
their chapter is a detailed analysis drawing on the empirical literature of the impact of
transport costs on trade and the determinants of those costs. The chapter concludes with
a more detailed look at the estimation problems encountered in such empirical work.
In the final chapter of Part I, Takatoshi Tabuchi (City formation and transport costs)
applies the models and mechanisms of NEG to the development of cities. He focuses on
the heterogeneity of space and the effect of externalities that reinforce the advantages of
locations. Changes in spatial structures both within and between cities may be explained
by the decrease in transport costs. A simple general equilibrium model is used in order
to examine how perfect competition is inconsistent with the existence of transport costs.
A typical urban economic theory of a monocentric city in heterogeneous space is briefly
sketched and then extended with technological externalities. The assumption of perfect
competition is replaced by monopolistic competition with pecuniary externalities in an
NEG model, which is then combined with urban economics. The chapter shows how
some of the stylized facts of urban economies can be explained by the trade-offs between
commuting cost, face-to-face communication cost and intercity trade cost leading to the
negative gradients of rent and population density and the suburbanization of households. Together the models of urban economics and NEG can explain the existence
of polycentric cities. Thus, it is shown that distance is a significant factor in economic
theory as well as in the real world, despite all the developments in transport technologies.

PART II: THE DEMAND FOR TRANSPORT
While Part I of the Handbook sets the scene by describing the role of transport in the
economy, the following two parts deal with the core of transport economics – demand
and costs. The five chapters relating to demand cover approaches to modeling demand
as well as the key element in the evaluation of demand – the value of time savings. These
chapters do not attempt to review all aspects of transport demand modeling. Practice in
this field is well known, and good summaries are found elsewhere. The focus here is on
the main recent developments.
One of these developments concerns the value of time – a core element in the evaluation of transport demand. The nature of the demand for transport is that it involves
an input of time by the individual for personal transport or by the shipper in the case
of freight. The value of this time varies between individuals (or shipments), and indeed
between different journey purposes for the same individual, and is not reflected accurately in any price paid for transport. Travel time savings constitute the most important

De Palma book.indb 5

05/10/2011 11:32


6

A handbook of transport economics

user benefit from transport improvements. David Hensher (Valuation of travel time
savings) provides a comprehensive review of value of travel time savings (VTTS) with
attention to both theory and application. His chapter begins with an overview of the
major theoretical approaches and empirical paradigms that have evolved to value time
savings, especially the progress in how revealed (or market) preference and stated choice
data is being used to estimate models. Mixed logit models and stated choice methods
have now become the state of the art (and to some extent practice) in deriving estimates
of VTTS. Drawing on these models and methods, the author presents empirical evidence
to illustrate the range of useful measures for components of travel time in passenger and
freight contexts, some of which are handled using the Hensher formula which combines
information from marginal productivity and utility maximization conditions.
One of the main contributions of transport studies to wider economic applications
is the development of discrete choice models. Joan Walker and Moshe Ben-Akiva
(Advances in discrete choice: mixture models) explain how recent advances in discrete
choice models have been driven by the growth in computer power and use of simulation,
which have allowed for unprecedented flexibility in model form. Their chapter provides a
brief review of the foundations of discrete choice analysis and the classic model forms of
probit and the generalized extreme value (GEV) family (for example, logit, nested logit
and cross-nested logit) before moving on to mixture models which are being used in a
wide array of statistical modeling procedures as a way to relax restrictive assumptions
and generalize model forms. It concludes by presenting empirical results from a land-use
and transportation study, which is used to demonstrate the various discrete choice model
formulations.
Another advance in traffic modeling is the dynamic modeling framework, pioneered
by the work of Vickrey, and subsequently Arnott, de Palma and Lindsey. Recent
advances in this field are reviewed by André de Palma and Mogens Fosgerau (Dynamic
traffic modeling). They begin by providing an overview of the conventional static equilibrium approach which combines demand (for mobility) and supply (road capacity). In
the static model, both the flow of trips and congestion delay are assumed to be constant.
A drawback of the static model is that the time interval during which travel occurs is not
specified so that the model cannot describe changes in the duration of congestion that
result from changes in demand or capacity. This limitation is overcome in the Vickrey
bottleneck model which combines congestion in the form of queuing behind a bottleneck with users’ trip-timing preferences and departure time decisions. de Palma and
Fosgerau derive the user equilibrium and social optimum for the basic bottleneck model,
and explain how the optimum can be decentralized using a time-varying toll. They then
review some extensions of the basic model that encompass elastic demand, user heterogeneity, stochastic demand and capacity and small networks. They conclude by identifying
some unresolved modelling issues that apply not only to the bottleneck model but to
trip-timing preferences and congestion dynamics in general.
A contrasting approach that is gaining interest is reviewed in the following chapter by
Abdul Rawoof Pinjari and Chandra Bhat who discuss activity models (Activity-based
travel demand analysis) for passenger transport. The interest in analyzing the potential
of travel demand management policies to manage travel demand has led to a shift in
the focus of travel demand modeling from the statistical prediction of aggregate-level,
long-term, travel demand to understanding disaggregate-level (that is individual-level)

De Palma book.indb 6

05/10/2011 11:32


Introduction

7

behavioral responses to short-term demand management policies such as ridesharing
incentives, congestion pricing and employer-based demand management schemes (alternate work schedules, telecommuting and so forth). Since individuals respond in complex
ways to such changes in travel conditions, traditional trip-based travel models may be
limited in their usefulness and activity-based methods have been developed in response.
Pinjari and Bhat discuss the salient aspects of the activity-based approach by presenting a theoretical and policy-oriented comparison of the trip-based and activity-based
approaches. They review the emerging developments and future research directions
along three important dimensions of activity participation and travel: inter-personal
interactions, time and space. They then examine ways in which activity-based travel forecasting systems can be integrated with other modeling systems (such as land-use models
and dynamic traffic assignment models) to build larger and more comprehensive urban
modeling systems.
Although much of the work on transport demand has been developed for personal
transport, many of the principles can be transferred to freight transport demand. There
are however some crucial differences that justify devoting a separate chapter to freight
transport in the context of the overall treatment of logistics and supply chain management. Logistics has changed a lot in recent decades, leading to an increasing integration
between transport and the management of firms. Logistics draws on a number of disciplines in which pure economic analysis holds a minor role. Michel Beuthe (Economics
of transport logistics) redresses this imbalance by using economic principles to address
the fundamental question of the total logistic costs of activities. Costs are incurred in
transportation and inventory management, and are affected by choice of route and consignment size. Michel Beuthe demonstrates the importance of these processes and offers
lessons which have an immediate application in a number of areas (see, for example, the
discussion of maritime shipping by Mary Brooks).

PART III: THE COST OF TRANSPORT
The demand for transport establishes the benefits from transport infrastructure and the
services provided with it to transport people and freight. Part III deals with the costs
of building the infrastructure and operating the services. The costs of transport include
both the direct costs of transport operators and infrastructure managers and the external
costs which transport imposes both on other users, for example, through congestion and
accidents, and on non-users through energy consumption, local air pollution and greenhouse gas emissions. Part III of the Handbook addresses some approaches for internalizing these external effects. We delay a full discussion of congestion until the following
section, where it is dealt with in the context of congestion pricing.
The costs of transport operators are analyzed by Leonardo Basso, Sergio Jara-Diaz
and Bill Waters (Cost functions for transport firms). Operator costs are shaped by the
fact that the costs of the various services produced on a transport network are interdependent through network effects. The emphasis in their chapter is less on mode-specific
issues than on the nature of a transport cost function, and the challenges and methods of
estimating the function. They cover a range of theoretical topics including the economics of multiple-output production and costs, and economies of scale, scope and traffic

De Palma book.indb 7

05/10/2011 11:32


Tài liệu bạn tìm kiếm đã sẵn sàng tải về

Tải bản đầy đủ ngay

×